A MQ-9 Reaper drone — not the ones bringing books and new towels to your doorstep from Amazon. (Wikicommons) |
Amazon made a waves on Monday after announcing
that, someday, it will deliver goods via drones, rather than the FedEx
man. It’s a fun thought — and no coincidence that it’s right in time for
the holidays when the commerce giant wants people remembering its
services — but it’s not a new one, especially for one software
developer.
Frankly, it would have been ridiculous if Amazon wasn’t putting some eggs in a drone basket. The idea of having unmanned crafts to do our bidding, bellicose or otherwise, has been around for decades. Just ask the people behind the Tacocopter.
But there are plenty of technological factors — battery life, rotor
speed, payload, regulations, communication and sensory software and
hardware — that have to improve before books and other goods are buzzing
the skies in a little drone’s talons.
Even still, it’s not hard to spot the promise. You could go out and
fly a drone right from your pocket today. Companies like Parrot and DIY
Drones make amateur copters and provide apps that turn your smartphone
into a remote control so you can zoom around, take a picture or buzz the
dog.
But Nelson Paez wants to build something bigger. His company, DreamHammer is building a software platform to build applications for controlling unmanned boats, planes or trucks. His company has been working with both Lockheed and the Pentagon to build the software. He’s now looking to bring that platform to the private sector.
But making that bridge away from DoD dollars hasn’t been smooth
sailing. We chatted a couple weeks before Amazon’s news and he relayed
frustrations on the level of investment in drone technology in the Bay
Area. He likens it to a kindergarten’s soccer game, where every child
chases the ball (the opportunity du jour) around the field, rather than
going to where the ball will be in the future.
“There’s no question Silicon Valley needs to pull its head out of its
butt and stop focusing on 140-character tweets,” he says. Nothing will
change “until someone shows you can make money with drones, and the
soccer ball moves, and everyone follows it.” Perhaps Amazon’s big
promises will catalyze some of that. Paez, obviously, has a stake in the
game. More investment in drones, the more potential money for his
company (and him).
The blame isn’t squarely on the investment community. The Federal Aviation Administration has been drawing
up new regulations for unmanned aircraft. Right now commercial use is
not allowed; only broad rules exist for hobbyists. Many complain the
governing body — despite the sunny projections of the economic impact by interest groups — is moving too slowly to keep pace with demand.
Worries about a surveillance state and careless warfare in the Middle
East often blurs the discussion about drones. This can often be
diffused by simply changing terminology: quadcopter, unmanned aircraft
and even remote controlled planes are usually interchangeable terms.
Amazon using the word “drone” will sway that discussion as well — though
we shouldn’t let it dull reservations about unmanned crafts in law
enforcement hands.
“Drone” really means any remote controlled vehicle. Drone tractors are finding a place on big farms. Drone boats are zipping around the oceans, sometimes way under the water and shooting down missiles. Just about anything that needs a driver, pilot or operator could someday be a drone.
“It’s that convergence that will lead to the next industrial
revolution,” Paez says. “When we can start making drones
multi-application capable, then it’s going to explode.”
Even outside surveillance concerns, a lot of caution is still
warranted. Drones need to communicate so they’re not slamming into one
another. And most drones have finite ranges to their controllers; when
they go outside of it they either drop out of the sky or head straight
until they hit something. And since there’s no way to “manually” fly a
drone should the computer go out, stable software and anti-virus safety is a major consideration as well.
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